Leicester City WFC (K) 0-1 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 19 Jan 2024

Leicester City WFC (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Aston Villa (K)
📅19/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leicester City WFC (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Leicester City WFC (K) 0-1 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
0-1
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa (K) nicked a narrow win over Leicester City WFC (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City WFC (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Leicester City WFC (K) had 43% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 57%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Leicester City WFC (K) 0-1 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City WFC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leicester City WFC (K) 43%, draw 30%, Aston Villa (K) 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leicester City WFC (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City WFC (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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