Hapoel Bnei Zalfa 3-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Liga Alef, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Hapoel Bnei Zalfa win — 39%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
-12.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
22%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Bnei Zalfa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -63%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hapoel Bnei Zalfa vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Bnei Zalfa cruised past Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 3-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hapoel Bnei Zalfa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Hapoel Bnei Zalfa vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?

Hapoel Bnei Zalfa 3-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed in the Israel - Liga Alef on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Bnei Zalfa vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Bnei Zalfa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Bnei Zalfa 39%, draw 26%, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Bnei Zalfa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Bnei Zalfa) ✓ Over 2.5
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