Sampdoria 0-3 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.96
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
13%
6.78
X/2
21%
4.75
X/X
10%
4.26
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
13%
2.99
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 46%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.43/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.18
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.0 Crosses 14.7
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Parma
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
376 Passes 399
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Parma Parma 1-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
16.07.2022 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 Parma Parma HAZ
22.05.2021 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3-0 HT 2-0 Parma Parma İTA
24.01.2021 Parma Parma 0-2 HT 0-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
19.07.2020 Parma Parma 2-3 HT 2-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
08.12.2019 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
0-3
AWAY Parma
0.79 xG 1.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
467 Passes 342
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 43
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Sampdoria vs Parma
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Parma ran out comfortable winners over Sampdoria 3-0 away from home in the Italy - Serie B on 19 Jan 2024. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Sampdoria had 57% of the ball to Parma's 43%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.79 to 1.39.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sampdoria and 0.83 for Parma.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Parma?

Sampdoria 0-3 Parma in the Italy - Serie B on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 36%, draw 23%, Parma 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parma), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →