Deinze 4-0 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.95
2-3 Goals
41%
2.03
4-5 Goals
25%
2.46
6+ Goals
13%
5.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deinze EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +29%
1.60/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.57
+14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.9 Crosses 20.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deinze
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
386 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 HT 0-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
20.11.2022 Deinze Deinze 2-1 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
03.09.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 4-1 HT 2-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
09.04.2022 Deinze Deinze 1-2 HT 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
04.02.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-1 HT 1-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
23.10.2021 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 HT 0-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deinze
4-0
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
3.00 xG 1.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
26 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
395 Passes 257
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deinze vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deinze cruised past Lierse Kempenzonen 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deinze as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Deinze had 58% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 42%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 3.00 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deinze and 1.67 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of Deinze vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Deinze 4-0 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deinze vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deinze win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deinze 49%, draw 24%, Lierse Kempenzonen 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deinze), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deinze) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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