Gent 1-2 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Jan 2024

Gent
1-2 HT 0-1
Mechelen
📅19/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Gent vs Mechelen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
22%
3.74
X/2
10%
11.4
X/X
8%
5.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.15
2/2
7%
8.87
2/X
7%
16.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.15 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-1.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gent v Mechelen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
2.12/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.17
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.0 Crosses 13.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Gent vs Mechelen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.93 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
16.04.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
16.10.2022 Gent Gent 3-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
10.05.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 1-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
07.05.2022 Gent Gent 1-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
15.12.2021 Mechelen Mechelen 4-3 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL

Gent 1-2 Mechelen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-2
AWAY Mechelen
1.72 xG 1.40
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
515 Passes 282
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Gent vs Mechelen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Mechelen edged past Gent 2-1 away from home in the Belgium - Pro League on 19 Jan 2024. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gent had 62% of the ball to Mechelen's 38%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.72 to 1.40.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gent and 1.00 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Gent vs Mechelen?

Gent 1-2 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gent 57%, draw 21%, Mechelen 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gent) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5
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