Dynamik 1-2 Le Messager Ngozi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Burundi - League A, 19 Jan 2024

Dynamik
1-2
Le Messager Ngozi
📅19/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Burundi - League A – 2023/2024

Dynamik vs Le Messager Ngozi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
55%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-8.8pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.3pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dynamik v Le Messager Ngozi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamik EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Messager Ngozi EU Bookmakers 15%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
472 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dynamik vs Le Messager Ngozi Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamik
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Le Messager Ngozi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Le Messager Ngozi Le Messager Ngozi 0-0 HT 0-0 Dynamik Dynamik BUR
31.05.2020 Le Messager Ngozi Le Messager Ngozi 2-1 Dynamik Dynamik BUR
POST-MATCH Dynamik vs Le Messager Ngozi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Messager Ngozi nicked a narrow win over Dynamik 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dynamik at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Le Messager Ngozi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dynamik and 1.00 for Le Messager Ngozi.

What was the final score of Dynamik vs Le Messager Ngozi?

Dynamik 1-2 Le Messager Ngozi in the Burundi - League A on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamik vs Le Messager Ngozi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamik win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dynamik 61%, draw 16%, Le Messager Ngozi 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dynamik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamik) ✓ Over 2.5
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