ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 19 Jan 2024

ATK Mohun Bagan
1-3 HT 1-0
East Bengal
📅19/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super Cup – 2025/2026

ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+5.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ATK Mohun Bagan v East Bengal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 36%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
6W-0D-0L
AWAY East Bengal
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.61 xG 0.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 270
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.02.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-2 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
29.10.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
29.01.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
27.11.2021 East Bengal East Bengal 0-3 HT 0-3 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
19.02.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
27.11.2020 East Bengal East Bengal 0-2 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal got the better of ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was ATK Mohun Bagan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.33 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal?

ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 East Bengal in the India - Super Cup on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 46%, draw 29%, East Bengal 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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