Perez Zeledon 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
56%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-10.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.09/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.64
-2% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +69%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perez Zeledon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.11.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
13.09.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
20.04.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 7-0 HT 4-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
19.02.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-5 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
21.08.2022 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 3-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
21.07.2022 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perez Zeledon
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perez Zeledon vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perez Zeledon edged past Deportivo Saprissa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Saprissa carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Perez Zeledon had 34% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 66%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Perez Zeledon and 3.67 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Perez Zeledon vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Perez Zeledon 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perez Zeledon vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Perez Zeledon 22%, draw 22%, Deportivo Saprissa 56%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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