Sporting Braga II 0-0 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.44/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.91
-7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +50%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Fafe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
04.02.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-4 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
23.10.2022 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
0-0
AWAY Fafe
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II and Fafe fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 57% of the ball to Fafe's 43%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Braga II and 0.67 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Fafe?

Sporting Braga II 0-0 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 53%, draw 21%, Fafe 26%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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