Benfica 2-0 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.17
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.18
2-3 Goals
39%
2.32
4-5 Goals
28%
2.37
6+ Goals
12%
4.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.22
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
34.0
X/1
20%
3.57
X/2
6%
34.0
X/X
7%
13.2
2/1
7%
22.15
2/2
4%
27.5
2/X
6%
32.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.1pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.5pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
2.86/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.49
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +0%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
37.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
23.5 Crosses 12.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Boavista
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.31 xG 0.90
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
455 Passes 237
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.08.2023 Boavista Boavista 3-2 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
21.02.2023 Benfica Benfica 3-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
27.08.2022 Boavista Boavista 0-3 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
18.02.2022 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 0-2 Benfica Benfica POR
25.01.2022 Benfica Benfica 1-1 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista PORLC
20.09.2021 Benfica Benfica 3-1 HT 2-1 Boavista Boavista POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica
2-0
AWAY Boavista
2.82 xG 0.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
406 Passes 334
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
51 Box Touches 5
32 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica got the better of Boavista 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Benfica had 55% of the ball to Boavista's 45%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.82 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Benfica and 1.33 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Benfica vs Boavista?

Benfica 2-0 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Benfica 69%, draw 17%, Boavista 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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