Sepsi 6-0 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 30% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.78/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.23
+10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
05.02.2021 Sepsi Sepsi 3-3 HT 3-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
17.10.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-4 HT 0-3 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
09.07.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-3 HT 0-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROK
05.07.2020 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 3-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
24.06.2020 Sepsi Sepsi 5-1 HT 1-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
6-0
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi swept aside CSMS Iaşi 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sepsi as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sepsi had 48% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 52%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sepsi and 1.50 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs CSMS Iaşi?

Sepsi 6-0 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 50%, draw 26%, CSMS Iaşi 25%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepsi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepsi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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