Mebrat Hayl 0-1 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
0-1
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
59% Ball Possession 41%
2 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelle Kenema edged past Mebrat Hayl 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Mekelle Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 59% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 41%, shots finished 2-1.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema?

Mebrat Hayl 0-1 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mebrat Hayl win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 40%, draw 32%, Mekelle Kenema 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mebrat Hayl) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mebrat Hayl) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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