Quevilly 0-1 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Jan 2025

Quevilly
0-1 HT 0-0
Villefranche
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Quevilly vs Villefranche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 34% vs market 30.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.69
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.44
X/2
10%
7.7
X/X
16%
4.19
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
8%
6.28
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Quevilly v Villefranche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.66/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.19
+6% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Quevilly vs Villefranche Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Villefranche
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.11 xG 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
129 Passes 342
59% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 17
5 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
29.05.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 2-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR2
09.02.2021 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
04.09.2020 Villefranche Villefranche 0-1 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
31.01.2020 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 2-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche squeezed past Quevilly 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Quevilly at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Quevilly and 0.75 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Villefranche?

Quevilly 0-1 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 44%, draw 31%, Villefranche 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Quevilly) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quevilly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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