Philadelphia Union 0-1 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.78
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
54%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.96
Over 2.5
49%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
6.82
2-3 Goals
38%
2.2
4-5 Goals
25%
2.51
6+ Goals
9%
5.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.82 — our 28% vs market 10.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
17.1
1/2
8%
19.5
1/X
7%
25.0
X/1
8%
21.6
X/2
14%
3.98
X/X
11%
9.72
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.4
2/X
5%
21.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+12.6pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.8pp
54%
Away Win
74%
-20.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
30%
+21.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
70%
-21.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 79%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.00
-100% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -46%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
0-1
AWAY Slavia Prag
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag squeezed past Philadelphia Union 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 46% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 54%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Slavia Prag?

Philadelphia Union 0-1 Slavia Prag in the Friendlies on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 22%, draw 23%, Slavia Prag 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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