Al Qadsia 2-4 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.6
Over
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.41
2-3
44%
1.72
4-5
15%
4.39
6+
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi The Market 48%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.84/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.17
-38% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
229 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qadsia
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Al Arabi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.08.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
16.05.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
07.04.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
02.01.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
07.10.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
29.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi beat Al Qadsia 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Qadsia and 1.17 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?

Al Qadsia 2-4 Al Arabi in the Kuwait - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 27%, draw 31%, Al Arabi 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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