Ajman 1-1 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 19 Jan 2026

📅19/01/2026 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +22%
1.39/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.73
-11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.8 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Dhafra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.83 xG 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
458 Passes 250
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
26.11.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAELK
12.10.2022 Ajman Ajman 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAELK
04.04.2022 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
22.10.2021 Ajman Ajman 1-3 HT 1-3 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
29.01.2021 Ajman Ajman 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajman
1-1
AWAY Al Dhafra
1.37 xG 0.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
226 Passes 326
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman and Al Dhafra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ajman at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ajman had 44% of the ball to Al Dhafra's 56%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajman and 1.67 for Al Dhafra.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Al Dhafra?

Ajman 1-1 Al Dhafra in the UAE - League on 19/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajman win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ajman 51%, draw 24%, Al Dhafra 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajman) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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