Aveley 2-0 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
11%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 45%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
0.99/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.53
-24% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
05.09.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-1 HT 0-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
2-0
AWAY Maidstone United
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aveley beat Maidstone United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Maidstone United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aveley had 55% of the ball to Maidstone United's 45%, shots finished 8-2.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Maidstone United?

Aveley 2-0 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aveley 31%, draw 27%, Maidstone United 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maidstone United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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