Bayern München II 0-1 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Feb 2024

Bayern München II
0-1 HT 0-1
Greuther Fürth II
📅19/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Bayern München II vs Greuther Fürth II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.74
Over Pick
65%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
35%
4-5
30%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-5.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
33%
+2.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
67%
-2.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.2pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München II v Greuther Fürth II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
2.79/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.79
+52% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.7 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Bayern München II vs Greuther Fürth II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
408 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.04.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
30.09.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-4 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
01.05.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
02.10.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-3 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
13.10.2015 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 3-2 HT 2-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
24.04.2015 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL

Bayern München II 0-1 Greuther Fürth II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München II
0-1
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
0.34 xG 2.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
280 Passes 331
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II edged past Bayern München II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bayern München II at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayern München II had 47% of the ball to Greuther Fürth II's 53%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.34 to 2.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Greuther Fürth II's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bayern München II and 1.50 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Greuther Fürth II?

Bayern München II 0-1 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 52%, draw 26%, Greuther Fürth II 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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