Audax Rio De Janeiro 1-2 Nova Iguaçu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Carioca 1, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Rio De Janeiro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nova Iguaçu EU Bookmakers 31%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.60/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.38
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Rio De Janeiro
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Nova Iguaçu
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.03.2023 Audax Rio De Janeiro Audax Rio De Janeiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu BRC1
18.03.2023 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu 1-1 HT 0-0 Audax Rio De Janeiro Audax Rio De Janeiro BRC1
25.01.2023 Audax Rio De Janeiro Audax Rio De Janeiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu BRC1
26.01.2022 Audax Rio De Janeiro Audax Rio De Janeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu BRC1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Rio De Janeiro
1-2
AWAY Nova Iguaçu
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Audax Rio De Janeiro vs Nova Iguaçu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nova Iguaçu edged past Audax Rio De Janeiro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Audax Rio De Janeiro at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Audax Rio De Janeiro had 39% of the ball to Nova Iguaçu's 61%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Audax Rio De Janeiro had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Audax Rio De Janeiro and 0.50 for Nova Iguaçu.

What was the final score of Audax Rio De Janeiro vs Nova Iguaçu?

Audax Rio De Janeiro 1-2 Nova Iguaçu in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Rio De Janeiro vs Nova Iguaçu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Rio De Janeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Audax Rio De Janeiro 45%, draw 28%, Nova Iguaçu 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Audax Rio De Janeiro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audax Rio De Janeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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