Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Corinthians
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Palmeiras
BREPAU
0-1
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Corinthians
BR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Corinthians
BREPAU
Palmeiras 2-2 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras and Corinthians couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Palmeiras at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Palmeiras had 53% of the ball to Corinthians's 47%, shots finished 20-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Palmeiras and 0.67 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
Palmeiras 2-2 Corinthians in the Brazil - Paulista A1 on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 57%, draw 25%, Corinthians 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No went the other way.