Vejle 0-0 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 19 Feb 2024

Vejle
0-0 HT 0-0
AGF Aarhus
📅19/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2023/2024

Vejle vs AGF Aarhus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.48
Over 2.5
49%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.93
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.96
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
4%
15.65
X/1
10%
6.89
X/2
14%
4.16
X/X
8%
3.72
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.96
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
15.1
Value flag · 2/X at 15.1 — our 12% vs market 3.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.7pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
64%
-12.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
36%
+12.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.1pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vejle v AGF Aarhus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.37/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.93
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +40%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 84%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.2 Crosses 22.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vejle vs AGF Aarhus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
218 Passes 341
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.07.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
12.05.2022 Vejle Vejle 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
03.04.2022 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
25.02.2022 Vejle Vejle 3-2 HT 2-2 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
12.09.2021 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
02.02.2021 Vejle Vejle 0-0 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN

Vejle 0-0 AGF Aarhus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
0-0
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.60 xG 0.54
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
160 Passes 328
60% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vejle vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle and AGF Aarhus fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was AGF Aarhus at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vejle had 38% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 62%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.60 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vejle and 0.67 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Vejle vs AGF Aarhus?

Vejle 0-0 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vejle 30%, draw 24%, AGF Aarhus 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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