19/02/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Al Hudod vs Al Najaf Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
41%
32%
Draw
26%
44%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hudod v Al Najaf — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Hudod
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Najaf
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
271 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
401 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Hudod vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Najaf cruised past Al Hudod 3-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Najaf as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Al Hudod vs Al Najaf?
Al Hudod 0-3 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hudod vs Al Najaf?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Hudod 24%, draw 32%, Al Najaf 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najaf) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Najaf)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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