Junior 0-1 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.30/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.15
+16% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
14.6 Crosses 12.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.86 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
387 Passes 283
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2023 Junior Junior 4-2 HT 3-2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
14.11.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
25.09.2023 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
17.04.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.03.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior CON CSA
29.08.2022 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
0-1
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.58 xG 1.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
417 Passes 329
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Junior vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima squeezed past Junior 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Deportes Tolima found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Junior had 55% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 45%, shots finished 21-20, expected goals 1.58 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Junior and 1.33 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Junior vs Deportes Tolima?

Junior 0-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Junior 37%, draw 30%, Deportes Tolima 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Junior), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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