CS Herediano 2-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.3pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.95/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.74
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
13.08.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
29.03.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-0 HT 3-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
29.01.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
01.09.2022 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
20.07.2022 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-2 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
2-1
AWAY Guanacasteca
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano nicked a narrow win over Guanacasteca 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 61% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 39%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CS Herediano and 1.00 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Guanacasteca?

CS Herediano 2-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 52%, draw 28%, Guanacasteca 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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