19/02/2024
·
11:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Kingston City vs Melbourne City II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
19%
X/1
3%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
39%
Draw
26%
28%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kingston City v Melbourne City II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kingston City
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Melbourne City II
EU Bookmakers 34%
-58% /
-58%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-90%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
302 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
366 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kingston City vs Melbourne City II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kingston City and Melbourne City II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 39% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Kingston City vs Melbourne City II?
Kingston City 1-1 Melbourne City II in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kingston City vs Melbourne City II?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kingston City 33%, draw 39%, Melbourne City II 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Draw)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NPL2
More Australia - Victoria NPL 2
19 Feb 2024