Katowice 2-0 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 19 Feb 2024

Katowice
2-0 HT 1-0
Motor Lublin
📅19/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Katowice vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 32% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Katowice v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.29/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.34
-3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3

Katowice vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
19.05.2021 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 2-1 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL2
29.11.2020 Katowice Katowice 2-1 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL2

Katowice 2-0 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
2-0
AWAY Motor Lublin
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice beat Motor Lublin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Katowice found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Katowice had 52% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 48%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Katowice and 1.33 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Motor Lublin?

Katowice 2-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - 1st Division on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Katowice 38%, draw 27%, Motor Lublin 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katowice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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