Moreirense 0-2 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 19 Feb 2024

Moreirense
0-2 HT 0-2
Sporting CP
📅19/02/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Moreirense vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
53%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
13.4
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
6%
21.45
X/1
8%
16.9
X/2
14%
3.46
X/X
9%
7.13
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.59
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
20.9
Value flag · 2/X at 20.9 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.7pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-13.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreirense v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 71%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.01/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.77
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
15.4 Crosses 23.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Moreirense vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.52 xG 1.60
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
223 Passes 519
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
14.03.2022 Moreirense Moreirense 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
23.10.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
05.04.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
28.11.2020 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
06.07.2020 Moreirense Moreirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR

Moreirense 0-2 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
0-2
AWAY Sporting CP
0.30 xG 2.45
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
273 Passes 467
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP beat Moreirense 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Moreirense had 38% of the ball to Sporting CP's 62%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.30 to 2.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Moreirense and 1.50 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Sporting CP?

Moreirense 0-2 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 22%, draw 25%, Sporting CP 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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