Sepsi 0-1 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.10/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.09
-20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SSC Farul
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
29.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
19.03.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
28.02.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-0 HT 2-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
09.10.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 0-1 HT 0-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
12.12.2021 Sepsi Sepsi 1-0 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
0-1
AWAY SSC Farul
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul nicked a narrow win over Sepsi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sepsi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sepsi had 54% of the ball to SSC Farul's 46%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sepsi and 1.33 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs SSC Farul?

Sepsi 0-1 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 44%, draw 26%, SSC Farul 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sepsi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepsi) ✓ Under 2.5
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