Al Jabalain 1-1 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 39%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.06/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.78
-5% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jabalain
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Faisaly
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2023 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
02.02.2023 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
31.08.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jabalain
1-1
AWAY Al Faisaly
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Jabalain vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jabalain and Al Faisaly shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Al Jabalain had 53% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 47%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Jabalain and 2.33 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Al Jabalain vs Al Faisaly?

Al Jabalain 1-1 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jabalain vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jabalain win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Jabalain 36%, draw 28%, Al Faisaly 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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