Gençlerbirliği 0-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.85
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.64
X/2
17%
5.5
X/X
12%
4.37
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.7
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.32/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.53
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.0 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.20 xG 1.76
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 438
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 4-1 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
21.05.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
25.12.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-5 HT 0-2 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
23.04.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-0 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
04.12.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
29.11.2012 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 5-1 HT 4-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
0-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.44 xG 0.52
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
327 Passes 215
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor nicked a narrow win over Gençlerbirliği 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Bandırmaspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 59% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 41%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.44 to 0.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gençlerbirliği.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 2.00 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Bandırmaspor?

Gençlerbirliği 0-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 31%, draw 29%, Bandırmaspor 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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