Atalanta U20 1-2 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.1pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 48%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.52/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.17
+1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta U20 Atalanta U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Atalanta U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 squeezed past Atalanta U20 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Atalanta U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Atalanta U20 1-2 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atalanta U20 28%, draw 25%, Fiorentina U20 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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