Al Najaf 1-2 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
27%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
35%
Draw
28%
+7.6pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 34%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Najaf vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil edged past Al Najaf 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 27%) promised a tight game; Erbil found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Najaf vs Erbil?

Al Najaf 1-2 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najaf vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Najaf 38%, draw 35%, Erbil 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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