Defence Force 0-5 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 19 Feb 2026

📅19/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
9.57
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
66%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.73
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
9%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
8%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.4pp
65%
Away Win
77%
-11.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defence Force EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 81%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
233 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defence Force
0-5
AWAY Philadelphia Union
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
226 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union swept aside Defence Force 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Defence Force had 43% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 57%, shots finished 4-18.

What was the final score of Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union?

Defence Force 0-5 Philadelphia Union in the CONCACAF Champions League on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Defence Force 13%, draw 21%, Philadelphia Union 65%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
19 Feb 2026
04:00 Universidad O&M vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →
06:00 CS Cartagines vs Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis →