Barnet 2-1 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 19 Mar 2024

Barnet
2-1 HT 2-1
Eastleigh
📅19/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Barnet vs Eastleigh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.9
2-3 Goals
40%
2.06
4-5 Goals
28%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
5.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.47
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
23.15
X/1
24%
3.57
X/2
8%
20.0
X/X
8%
9.22
2/1
4%
20.2
2/2
10%
14.05
2/X
8%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-15.1pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.0pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barnet v Eastleigh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.75/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.15
-18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
474 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Barnet vs Eastleigh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Eastleigh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.08.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-3 HT 1-3 Barnet Barnet İBSL
31.01.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
29.08.2022 Barnet Barnet 3-1 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
23.04.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-3 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
11.09.2021 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
15.05.2021 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL

Barnet 2-1 Eastleigh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
2-1
AWAY Eastleigh
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet nicked a narrow win over Eastleigh 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Barnet had 62% of the ball to Eastleigh's 38%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barnet and 1.67 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Eastleigh?

Barnet 2-1 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Barnet 58%, draw 21%, Eastleigh 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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