Bradford City 0-3 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 19 Mar 2024

📅19/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
17%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.66
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
15%
4.75
X/2
9%
7.37
X/X
9%
5.37
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
16%
4.9
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/2.48
-23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
22.8 Crosses 19.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Notts County
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.72 xG 2.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
234 Passes 628
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Notts County Notts County 4-2 HT 4-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
14.03.2015 Notts County Notts County 1-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
28.12.2014 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İN1
01.01.2014 Notts County Notts County 3-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
26.11.2013 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN1
11.08.2012 Notts County Notts County 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
0-3
AWAY Notts County
0.94 xG 3.26
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 8
218 Passes 414
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County ran out comfortable winners over Bradford City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Bradford City had 38% of the ball to Notts County's 62%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 0.94 to 3.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bradford City and 1.50 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Notts County?

Bradford City 0-3 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 47%, draw 23%, Notts County 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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