Babelsberg 1-0 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Mar 2024

📅19/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.96/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.53
+22% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
30.04.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
13.11.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
11.12.2021 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
27.07.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-1 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
02.09.2020 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-2 HT 1-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babelsberg
1-0
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg edged past Chemnitzer FC 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Babelsberg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Babelsberg had 48% of the ball to Chemnitzer FC's 52%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Babelsberg and 1.00 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Chemnitzer FC?

Babelsberg 1-0 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 39%, draw 29%, Chemnitzer FC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babelsberg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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