Union Santa Fe 2-2 Central Cordoba Santiago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Mar 2024

Union Santa Fe
2-2 HT 2-1
Central Cordoba Santiago
📅19/03/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba Santiago Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 40% vs market 37.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.85
X/1
9%
3.88
X/2
11%
7.71
X/X
17%
3.88
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
11%
6.85
2/X
6%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.2pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Central Cordoba Santiago — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.40/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.38
+2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
27.3 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba Santiago Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.88 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 Passes 235
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
20.05.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
22.10.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-4 HT 1-2 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
04.12.2021 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
25.02.2020 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ

Union Santa Fe 2-2 Central Cordoba Santiago — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
2-2
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
2.31 xG 0.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
244 Passes 303
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba Santiago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe and Central Cordoba Santiago shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Union Santa Fe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 46% of the ball to Central Cordoba Santiago's 54%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.31 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Central Cordoba Santiago led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.60 for Central Cordoba Santiago.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Union Santa Fe 2-2 Central Cordoba Santiago in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 41%, draw 31%, Central Cordoba Santiago 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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