Accra Lions 1-0 Great Olympics — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 19 Mar 2024

📅19/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Great Olympics EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.60/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.80
+33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accra Lions
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Great Olympics
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.10.2023 Great Olympics Great Olympics 3-0 HT 3-0 Accra Lions GANA
06.03.2022 Accra Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Great Olympics Great Olympics GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accra Lions
1-0
AWAY Great Olympics
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Accra Lions vs Great Olympics
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accra Lions squeezed past Great Olympics 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Accra Lions as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Accra Lions had 54% of the ball to Great Olympics's 46%, shots finished 5-21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Great Olympics led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Accra Lions and 1.50 for Great Olympics.

What was the final score of Accra Lions vs Great Olympics?

Accra Lions 1-0 Great Olympics in the Gana - Premier League on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accra Lions vs Great Olympics?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accra Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Accra Lions 44%, draw 30%, Great Olympics 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Accra Lions), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Accra Lions) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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