Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 Sol De America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 19 Mar 2024

📅19/03/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.7pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sol De America EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.02/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.33
-20% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Sol De America
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2022 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 0-0 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
03.09.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.07.2022 Sol De America Sol De America 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
22.04.2022 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 HT 1-1 Sol De America Sol De America PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2-1
AWAY Sol De America
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Sol De America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano edged past Sol De America 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Sportivo Ameliano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 43% of the ball to Sol De America's 57%, shots finished 11-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 0.75 for Sol De America.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Sol De America?

Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 Sol De America in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Sol De America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sol De America win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 36%, draw 27%, Sol De America 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sol De America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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