Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 Mar 2024

Estudiantes De Merida
0-1 HT 0-0
UCV
📅19/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes De Merida vs UCV Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v UCV — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.98/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.00
-18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +142%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
26.7 Crosses 10.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Estudiantes De Merida vs UCV Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
3W-0D-1L
AWAY UCV
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 312
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.07.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
22.04.2023 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.06.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
05.06.2022 UCV UCV 1-2 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 UCV — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0-1
AWAY UCV
1.37 xG 1.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
218 Passes 176
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; UCV found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 58% of the ball to UCV's 42%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.37 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estudiantes De Merida had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.00 for UCV.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs UCV?

Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 34%, draw 34%, UCV 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/33) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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