Nations 0-1 Aduana Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.51
No
51%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
36%
+13.3pp
51%
BTTS No
64%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nations EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Aduana Stars EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.63/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.89
+20% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +59%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
POST-MATCH Nations vs Aduana Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aduana Stars nicked a narrow win over Nations 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nations at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Nations vs Aduana Stars?

Nations 0-1 Aduana Stars in the Gana - Premier League on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nations vs Aduana Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nations win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Nations 59%, draw 26%, Aduana Stars 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nations) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nations) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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