Zhejiang G. FC 3-2 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.64 — our 26% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.84
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.08
X/2
13%
7.02
X/X
14%
5.33
2/1
13%
22.7
2/2
9%
4.48
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.1pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +28%
1.03/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.28
-18% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
14.6 Crosses 14.5
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
306 Passes 240
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.07.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
21.04.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-1 HT 2-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
29.10.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-2 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
3-2
AWAY Tianjin Teda
2.34 xG 1.95
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
511 Passes 179
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC edged past Tianjin Teda 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zhejiang G. FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 70% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 30%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.34 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.33 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Tianjin Teda?

Zhejiang G. FC 3-2 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 45%, draw 26%, Tianjin Teda 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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