Oxford United 1-1 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

Oxford United
1-1 HT 0-1
Stevenage
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Oxford United vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.8
Over
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
31%
3.15
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
20%
3.72
6+
9%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.17
X/2
11%
8.35
X/X
14%
4.61
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
8%
6.5
2/X
7%
14.6
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Oxford United v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Oxford United The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage The Market 26%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.39 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.02
0.97 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.13
Average Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 67%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.3 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Oxford United vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stevenage
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.75 xG 1.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
410 Passes 270
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 1-3 HT 1-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
05.10.2021 Oxford United Oxford United 1-2 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İNTK
29.08.2017 Stevenage Stevenage 2-6 HT 1-2 Oxford United Oxford United İNTK
25.03.2016 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
31.10.2015 Stevenage Stevenage 1-5 HT 1-2 Oxford United Oxford United İN2
31.01.2015 Stevenage Stevenage 0-2 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN2

Oxford United 1-1 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
1-1
AWAY Stevenage
2.91 xG 0.15
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 5
439 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
32 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Oxford United vs Stevenage
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Oxford United and Stevenage traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Oxford United at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The market had leaned harder still (1.82, ~55%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (57%) came home.

Under the surface, Oxford United had 65% of the ball to Stevenage's 35%, shots finished 25-2, expected goals 2.91 to 0.15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oxford United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Oxford United and 1.17 for Stevenage.

Oxford United vs Stevenage Result & Final Score

Oxford United 1-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Oxford United vs Stevenage Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 45%, draw 31%, Stevenage 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oxford United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oxford United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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