AFC Malmö 3-1 Angelholm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Angelholm EU Bookmakers 16%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.60
-60% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Angelholm
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.10.2023 Angelholm Angelholm 4-0 HT 3-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
14.06.2023 AFC Malmö 1-0 HT 0-0 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
3-1
AWAY Angelholm
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Angelholm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö saw off Angelholm 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Malmö as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 56% of the ball to Angelholm's 44%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AFC Malmö and 2.00 for Angelholm.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Angelholm?

AFC Malmö 3-1 Angelholm in the Sweden - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Angelholm?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 58%, draw 27%, Angelholm 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Malmö) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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