IFK Hassleholm 1-3 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Hassleholm EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.43/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-32% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH IFK Hassleholm vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK beat IFK Hassleholm 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Hassleholm at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of IFK Hassleholm vs Hogaborgs BK?

IFK Hassleholm 1-3 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Hassleholm vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Hassleholm win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split IFK Hassleholm 51%, draw 28%, Hogaborgs BK 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Hassleholm) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Hassleholm) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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