Palermo 0-0 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 19 Apr 2024

Palermo
0-0 HT 0-0
Parma
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Palermo vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.21
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
11%
12.65
X/1
9%
6.37
X/2
11%
5.21
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
15%
3.16
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.5
Value flag · 2/X at 12.5 — our 12% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Parma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.18/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.04
+15% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
23.0 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Palermo vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Parma
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
279 Passes 396
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Parma Parma 3-3 HT 0-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
01.04.2023 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
05.11.2022 Palermo Palermo 1-0 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTB
02.04.2018 Parma Parma 3-2 HT 2-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
08.10.2017 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTB
26.04.2015 Parma Parma 1-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTA

Palermo 0-0 Parma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
0-0
AWAY Parma
0.92 xG 0.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
400 Passes 427
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo and Parma fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Palermo had 49% of the ball to Parma's 51%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.92 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palermo and 1.67 for Parma.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Parma?

Palermo 0-0 Parma in the Italy - Serie B on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Palermo 33%, draw 33%, Parma 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parma), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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