Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 19 Apr 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt
3-1 HT 0-1
Augsburg
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
8%
4.64
X/2
11%
7.71
X/X
15%
5.7
2/1
10%
21.4
2/2
13%
5.08
2/X
5%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.0 — our 11% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.71/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.55
-19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
27.7 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Augsburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
422 Passes 248
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
29.04.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
05.11.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
16.01.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
21.08.2021 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
20.04.2021 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
3-1
AWAY Augsburg
1.85 xG 0.45
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
478 Passes 251
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt beat Augsburg 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Eintracht Frankfurt made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 62% of the ball to Augsburg's 38%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.85 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 0.83 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg?

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 40%, draw 26%, Augsburg 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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