Sandhausen 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 19 Apr 2024

Sandhausen
1-2 HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Sandhausen vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.51
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.6
X/2
8%
5.7
X/X
13%
5.18
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
3.6
2/X
11%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandhausen v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
2.28/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.53
+52% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
292 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Sandhausen vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 1.09
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
203 Passes 349
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
29.01.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 HT 1-2 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
16.07.2022 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
12.06.2020 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
23.11.2019 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
12.05.2019 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-3 HT 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2

Sandhausen 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
1-2
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld edged past Sandhausen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Arminia Bielefeld found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sandhausen had 36% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 64%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandhausen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sandhausen and 1.17 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Sandhausen 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 36%, draw 28%, Arminia Bielefeld 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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