RB Leipzig (K) 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 19 Apr 2024

RB Leipzig (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen (K)
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RB Leipzig (K) v Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
0.60/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.95
-20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
7.0 Crosses 8.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0

RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
The Meetings
19.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB

RB Leipzig (K) 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
1-0
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig (K) edged past Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bayer Leverkusen (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 50% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 50%, shots finished 4-7.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 25%, draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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