Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aurora v Independiente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals
Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Aurora
BOLİ
2-0
HT 1-0
Independiente Petrolero
BOLİ
1-1
HT 0-1
Aurora
BOLİ
3-0
HT 1-0
Aurora
BOLİ
Aurora 2-3 Independiente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Petrolero nicked a narrow win over Aurora 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Aurora at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Aurora had 60% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 40%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.55 to 1.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aurora.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aurora and 1.25 for Independiente Petrolero.
What was the final score of Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero?
Aurora 2-3 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aurora 52%, draw 23%, Independiente Petrolero 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aurora), BTTS No went the other way.